Samsung Electronics Stock Forecast: Achieving 100,000 Won Imminent, Analysis of Latest Earnings and HBM Cycle
[Quant/Semiconductor] Analysis of Anticipation for Samsung Electronics' 100,000 Won Stock Price
Samsung Electronics, the national stock of South Korea, is finally on the verge of achieving '100,000 Won Stock Price' (10만전자). In this article, we will conduct an in-depth analysis focusing on data and facts regarding the stock price outlook, based on the key drivers of Samsung Electronics' strong stock price surge: the recovery of the memory semiconductor industry, its competitiveness in the High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) market, and the recently announced earnings and the securities market's latest target price.
Samsung Electronics' Sprint Towards 100,000 Won | Analysis of Latest Earnings and Target Price
1. Key Driver of Samsung Electronics' Stock Price Rise: Surprising Q3 Earnings and Memory Cycle Recovery
Samsung Electronics' stock rally is not merely based on anticipation but is strongly supported by a tangible earnings recovery. The recently announced 2025 Q3 preliminary earnings clearly demonstrate a powerful rebound in the semiconductor industry.
| Category | 2025 Q3 Preliminary Earnings | Quarter-on-Quarter Change (QoQ) | Year-on-Year Change (YoY) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 86 Trillion Won | 15.33% Increase | 8.72% Increase |
| Operating Profit | 12.1 Trillion Won | 158.55% Increase | 31.81% Increase |
The Semiconductor (DS) division is estimated to have recorded around **5 trillion Won** of the total operating profit (12.1 trillion Won), representing a **more than tenfold surge** compared to Q2. This is attributed to the rise in memory semiconductor prices and increased sales of high-value-added products. This signal of earnings rebound further solidifies the market's conviction that Samsung Electronics will be the biggest beneficiary of the memory market.
2. Future Growth Engine: Reaffirming High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) Competitiveness
Along with the recovery of general-purpose memory, the recovery of competitiveness in the future market of Artificial Intelligence (AI) semiconductors is playing a crucial role in the stock price surge. In particular, securing dominance in the High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) market, which is central to high-performance computing, is anticipated.
Potential for Securing Competitive Advantage in the HBM Market
- Importance of the HBM Market: HBM is a high-performance memory essential for AI servers and data centers. Reaffirming technology leadership in this market signifies securing Samsung Electronics' long-term growth engine.
- Outlook for Securing Competitive Advantage: The securities market evaluates that Samsung Electronics is widening the gap with competitors through the stabilization of semiconductor yields, which is seen as a key factor to drive high growth in earnings until 2026.
With the intensification of global AI competition, the expectation that major companies like Nvidia will increase their supply dependence on Samsung Electronics suggests that the future recovery of AI competitiveness will act as a strong element for further stock price increases.
3. Stock Forecast and Potential to Reach '100,000 Won': Analysis of Securities Market's Latest Target Price
Currently, Samsung Electronics' stock price is on the verge of reaching '100,000 Won,' and the consensus target price among securities firms has also been significantly adjusted upward.
| Category | Consensus (Average Estimate) | Highest Target Price |
|---|---|---|
| 12-Month Target Stock Price | 115,640 Won | 140,000 Won |
| 2025 Annual Estimated Operating Profit | Approx. 35.7 Trillion Won | - |
Key Upside Potential and Risks
1. Sustained Foreign Net Buying: Foreign ownership in Samsung Electronics is lower compared to its past peak, indicating ample capacity for additional foreign buying. Buying momentum is strongly flowing in due to earnings and HBM anticipation.
2. National Pension Service Buying: The continuous buying from the National Pension Service, a 'big hand' in the stock market, can also serve as a crucial support base for the stock price rise.
However, investors should be aware that exchange rate fluctuations could act as a major risk factor affecting foreign investor sentiment in the short term.
▲ Three key drivers leading to the achievement of 100,000 Won: HBM, DRAM, and Foreign Net Buying
4. Summary of Results and Investment Implications
Investment Implication: Betting on Structural Growth from a Long-Term Perspective
As a leader in the memory semiconductor industry, Samsung Electronics is entering a new growth trajectory with the advent of the AI era. Since HBM is an essential core component for high-performance AI chipsets, technology superiority in this market means a fundamental re-evaluation of corporate value, beyond mere earnings improvement.
Therefore, it is advantageous for investors to approach Samsung Electronics from a long-term perspective, betting on the structural growth of the AI semiconductor industry rather than short-term capital gains. The fact that large-scale foreign net buying is already entering from a long-term perspective is a positive signal.
However, monitoring external variables such as exchange rate fluctuations and global geopolitical risks is essential in case short-term stock price volatility increases. In conclusion, Samsung Electronics has started its sprint towards 100,000 Won, providing a very important investment opportunity at the beginning of the semiconductor super cycle that is expected to continue for the next few years.
Key Summary: Core Momentum for Breaking 100,000 Won
Samsung Electronics confirmed the memory cycle rebound through strong earnings of 12.1 trillion Won in operating profit for Q3. The stock price increase is being driven by the twin engines of reaffirming HBM competitiveness and rising DRAM prices, with the securities market target price of 115,640 Won or higher suggesting a strong upward trend.
The content of this blog is for reference in investment decisions only, and investment decisions must be made under individual judgment and responsibility. Under no circumstances can the information in this blog be used as evidence for legal liability regarding investment outcomes.
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